H ere's where Tammy is located right now . Hurricane Tammy Now ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually enhanced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less specific. Tammy was initially anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system guidance is now recommending that the storm might drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and extremely effective cyclone that caused massive damage and significant death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering flaws in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, in addition to big locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests cyclone conditions are anticipated in a few of these locations. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy need to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a cyclone that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the cyclone center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered cyclone cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to typhoon expert Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists formerly cautioned typhoons might form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe risks and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy